Math and Soccer vs. Math and Baseball

When it comes to sport betting, each type of sport comes with its unique sets of rules. These

can drastically impact the way you calculate your odds, especially if you are using

mathematical formulas in order to establish your gambling strategy.

How many predictions are possible? How can you combine probabilities? Let’s see exactly how

you can use and adapt math principles for two of the most popular sports: soccer and


Teams playing a soccer game have 3 different possible outcomes: they can either win, tie or

lose the match. So, when one team is considered, one single soccer game has 3 predictions.

Things change when you consider the probabilities of that team’s performance over 2 games.

Let’s note each possible outcome differently: W1 (winning the first match), L1 (losing the first

game), T1 (ending the first one with a tie) and, similarly, W2, L2, T2. You will see that 9 different

permutations are possible:



W1 W2 / W1 L2 / W1 T2 / L1 W2 / L1 L2 / L1 T2 / T1 W2 / T1 L2 / T1 T2.

Translated into math language, this means possible outcomes. If you wanted to know the

number of the possible outcomes for, let’s say 10 games, then you would have permutations

(quite a few, don’t you think?). It’s important you understand the chances before placing your


Baseball games differ, in the way that there can only be 2 outcomes per match: either one

team wins or it loses, there’s no tie. This means that, when thinking the possibilities for one

team during 10 games through, we get permutations. Piece of cake, isn’t it?

Mixing the probabilities for the two different sports is just as easy. For example, let’s say you

want to see the combined possible outcomes for 4 soccer games and 4 baseball games – you will

then have * permutations.


Now that you understand the chances, you will also need to consider some other factors in order

to filter out the probabilities from the possibilities. Usually, you have to take into

consideration the team’s historical performance over the last few years, and further split the

data into home versus away games, other encounters with the same team etc.

There are several strategies for each sport which you can adopt, we’ll talk more about those in a

coming article! :)

Good luck, mates!

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